Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Australia)
Landfall between
15 Feb 2024 18:00 - 16 Feb 2024 06:00

in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 74 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1800 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 15 Feb 2024 18:00 65 2 thousand No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Feb 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -15.5, 137.5
GREEN
1 16 Feb 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1800 people -16.1, 137.2 Australia
GREEN
1 16 Feb 2024 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.7, 136.1 Australia
GREEN
1 17 Feb 2024 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -17.2, 134.7 Australia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Australia 1800 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Northern Territory Australia 1800 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Borroloola BOX 16 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
Robinson River RRV unknown 0
McArthur River Mine 40 Priv. Paved Yes 4900

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 15 Feb 2024 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)